Rising Tide Of Political Violence In The U.S.: A Dangerous New Normal


09/16/2024



In recent months, the United States has witnessed an alarming rise in political violence, underscoring a deeply troubling trend. After decades without significant acts of political violence directed at major party presidential candidates, former President Donald Trump has become the target of two assassination attempts within a span of just two months. This surge in violence reflects broader shifts in American political culture and highlights an unsettling new normal.
 
The first incident occurred in mid-July, when Trump narrowly avoided being shot in the head by a gunman during a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. The attacker, a 20-year-old, was killed by a sniper before he could inflict harm. This close call was followed by a second, more recent attempt on Trump’s life. On a Sunday afternoon, while Trump was playing golf at his West Palm Beach course, a man armed with an AK-47 style rifle was discovered hiding in the bushes. Secret Service agents responded by opening fire, and the suspect is now in custody.
 
These events illustrate the growing normalization of political violence in the U.S., a phenomenon that has increasingly become part of the political landscape. As Vice President Kamala Harris stated after the Florida incident, “Violence has no place in America.” Yet, this kind of violence is becoming an unsettling aspect of contemporary American politics. The nature of these attacks—one occurring in a highly visible public setting and the other in a more private, less media-covered environment—affects how they are perceived and their subsequent impact on the public consciousness.
 
Trump’s response to these incidents reflects his broader campaign narrative. He has portrayed himself as a martyr for “forgotten” Americans, using the violence against him to galvanize his supporters. His statement following the first attack, “fight, fight, fight,” became a rallying cry, reinforcing his narrative of persecution. In his view, the attacks on him are not just attacks on himself but on his supporters and their values. “They’re not coming after me, they’re coming after you,” he asserts. “I’m just standing in the way.”
 
This portrayal of victimhood, however, is part of a larger pattern of political violence and rhetoric that has escalated in recent years. Trump’s tenure and rhetoric have significantly contributed to a rise in violent political discourse. The attempted assassinations are the latest manifestations of a troubling trend towards stochastic terrorism—violence carried out by individuals inspired by inflammatory rhetoric but operating independently of formal organizations.
 
The increase in political violence is not an isolated phenomenon but a reflection of broader social and psychological dynamics. According to political scientists Lilliana Mason and Nathan Kalmoe, as detailed in their 2022 study *Radical American Partisanship*, there has been a significant rise in violent attitudes. Their research indicates that 24% of Republicans and 17% of Democrats find threatening public officials acceptable. This trend has been exacerbated by increased partisan polarization, which heightens perceived existential threats and leads to greater endorsement of violence.
 
The events of January 6, 2021, when Trump incited a mob to attack the U.S. Capitol, marked a significant turning point. The attack resulted in five deaths and heightened the sense of danger surrounding political violence. Since then, threats against lawmakers have increased tenfold, reflecting a growing acceptance of political violence. According to recent polls, approval for the January 6 attack has risen among Republicans, and one in five Americans now believe that political violence can be justified in certain circumstances.
 
This shift is driven by several interrelated factors. Increased polarization has intensified partisan animosity, with both major parties becoming more ideologically homogeneous and antagonistic. The Republican Party, in particular, has become more racially homogeneous, while the Democratic Party has become more diverse, exacerbating divisions and contributing to a heightened sense of threat among partisan groups.
 
Disinformation and conspiracy theories also play a crucial role in fueling political violence. Trump’s promotion of false claims, such as the "birther" conspiracy and QAnon theory, has exacerbated political tensions. Studies have shown that belief in conspiracy theories correlates with support for political violence. Social media further amplifies these tensions by spreading disinformation and fostering feelings of victimhood and threat.
 
Addressing the problem of political violence requires a multifaceted approach. This includes combating disinformation through fact-checking and media literacy, regulating firearm access, and fostering a more responsible political discourse. The rise in political violence is also linked to mental health issues and emotional states, with stress and depression making individuals more susceptible to endorsing violent ideologies. Anger, contempt, and disgust—emotions prevalent in political rhetoric—also drive intergroup violence.
 
In summary, the recent assassination attempts against Donald Trump underscore a disturbing rise in political violence in the U.S. This trend is a manifestation of broader social and psychological forces, including increased polarization, the spread of disinformation, and the erosion of political norms. As the nation grapples with these challenges, it is crucial to address the root causes of political violence and work towards restoring stability and civility in American politics.
 
(Source:www.bbc.com & berkeley.edu)