Daily Management Review

Global investment banks lower forecasts for China's GDP in 2024


07/17/2024


International investment banks downgraded their projections for the Chinese economy in 2024 following the release of less encouraging than anticipated data regarding the dynamics of the Chinese GDP for the second quarter, reports MarketWatch.



Chris via flickr
Chris via flickr
The State Statistical Office of China stated that the nation's economic growth in April-June dropped to 4.7% annualized, the lowest level since the first quarter of 2023. The first quarter saw 5.3% growth in the GDP. Analysts' consensus prediction called for a 5.1% rise in China's GDP in the second quarter.

The previous day's statistics for June also revealed a decline in Chinese retail sales and industrial production.

Analysts at Barclays, JPMorgan Chase & Co., and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. reduced their estimates for China's economic growth this year from 5% to 4.8% and 4.7% to 5.2%, respectively.

Many analysts doubt Beijing's ability to meet its 2024 GDP growth target of 5% as the government's actions haven't yet enabled it to overcome the real estate market crisis, which is still having a detrimental impact on consumer confidence, according to MarketWatch.

source: marketwatch.com