A UK Met Office forecast claims that 2016 is set to be the warmest year ever recorded.
2016 would be the third consecutive year that global temperature records would be broken successively. Scientists claimed that the rise in the global average temperature next year would be driven by the peaking of the El Nino weather phenomenon aided by climate change.
This forecast follows barely a few days after 195 nations agreed to a historic deal to fight global warming at a UN summit in Paris. The countries vowed to keep the world’s temperature rise under 2C, with an ambition to restrict the rise to 1.5C.
The global average temperature in 2016 will be 1.14C above pre-industrial temperatures, the Met Office forecast indicates. The Met Office said there was just a 5% chance the global average temperature in 2016 would be below that in 2015.
“The vast majority of the warming is global warming, but the icing on the cake is the big El Niño event,” said Prof Adam Scaife, head of monthly to decadal prediction at the Met Office.
Global weather is widely affected by El Niño which is a natural cycle of warming in the Pacific Ocean. The El Nino’s current phase is the biggest since 1998 and is peaking now. The global temperature effects take time to spread around the globe.
“We expect the peak warming from El Niño in the 2016 figures,” said Scaife.
2016 would be the third consecutive year that global temperature records would be broken successively. Scientists claimed that the rise in the global average temperature next year would be driven by the peaking of the El Nino weather phenomenon aided by climate change.
This forecast follows barely a few days after 195 nations agreed to a historic deal to fight global warming at a UN summit in Paris. The countries vowed to keep the world’s temperature rise under 2C, with an ambition to restrict the rise to 1.5C.
The global average temperature in 2016 will be 1.14C above pre-industrial temperatures, the Met Office forecast indicates. The Met Office said there was just a 5% chance the global average temperature in 2016 would be below that in 2015.
“The vast majority of the warming is global warming, but the icing on the cake is the big El Niño event,” said Prof Adam Scaife, head of monthly to decadal prediction at the Met Office.
Global weather is widely affected by El Niño which is a natural cycle of warming in the Pacific Ocean. The El Nino’s current phase is the biggest since 1998 and is peaking now. The global temperature effects take time to spread around the globe.
“We expect the peak warming from El Niño in the 2016 figures,” said Scaife.
